June 2020 Version Update

I agree with this wholeheartedly. That is why I think crafting materials will hold their value a little better than dropped items, since crafters' income doesn't come from sparks. And merc'ed gear will drop even more because the people who pay for mercs get their gil almost 100% from sparks.

Are we still able to do memes or is that window closed?

Is there anywhere that tracks AH prices over long periods? I would assume this website does do that, but I don't know if there is a way to see the numbers. Say, look at October 13th, 2012 or something random.

I kind of want to track it, and this seems like a really good time to start.

Server: Asura
Material - Cost/unit (AH qty.)
Riftcinder - 950k/99 (499)
Riftdross - 470K/99 (357)
Pluton - 400k/99 (171)
Beitetsu - 1,000k/99 (209)
Riftborn Bolder - 600k/99 (183)
Heavy Metal Plates - 8,000k/99 (128)
High Purity Bayld - 910k/99 (106)
Alexandrite - 850k/99 (278)
M. Silver - 480k/ea. (118)
L-N Jadeshell - 450k/ea. (104)
100 Byne Bill - 470k/ea. (103)

It would be fun to track it like the stock market...

(I need to geek out about something)

I think deflation will kick in faster than people think. The key is in "gil in circulation" rather than "total gil exist".

Without massive influx of gil into circulation, people will quickly run out of free gil from NPC. They will have to farm, craft and sell stuff to make gil.

So you have the same amount of gil (assuming people aren't throwing gil at AH fees and treasure trove) but a lot more goods for sale (more farming = more stuff).

The number of buyers would shrink as only people who have gil (from storage mules and such) or can make gil not from sparks will have enough money to continue their level of consumption. Everyone else who rely on sparks are going to have to look for a new job and flood the market with stuff. People who don't wouldn't just open their storage and blow everything on the AH.

There would be a lot of people trying to undercut each other. Putting severe pressure on price.

Im sure as prices drop, the HQcraft.lua mules will get nervous and start unloading their hidden treasures!

wait for it...

What if you reduced the paycheck of everyone by 90%, but they all have 4 lifetimes worth of money in the bank?

How long would it be until people couldn't purple a hot dog?

According to Asura shouts: Job Point Bots are charging people 7M now. It was 10M before.

A 30% drop in prices. Maybe the RMT are running out of gil to sell or maybe the deflation effect is kicking in?

i think the following will happen:

• 1. jeremaid

• 2. panic sales, rates plummet and overcorrect

• 3. rate start recovering a bit to counter the overcorrection

• 4. rates gradually decrease till SE introduces sparks/blinkers 3.0

we are currently at stage 2.

The Poroggo Fleece +1 has a green icon, #triggered

[li]4. rates gradually decrease till SE introduces sparks/blinkers 3.0[/li]
[/ul]

how is that a money maker? its either pure gamble or the mars/venus orbs never had a fair price tag.

Going by the guy who was selling drops yesterday (not even counting all the AH sellable items), who was also buying lots of orbs he made around 300-400m in a day.

Have to agree with Shich. Huge up and down. If the guy is smart, he'll take gains and duck out. If he's not so smart, he'll think he's Leo in Titanic and end up on a cold, wet plank, sinking to his watery doom. You can make 300-400M, but you can easily lose double that if you don't hit an Omen body or multiple pulse.

Gambling 101: you can never beat the house. Unless you can count cards and have some understanding of Aikido, Brazilian Jiu-Jutsu, Kyokushin karate, and Filipino stick fighting (i.e., was Jason Bourne in another life) to deal with the bouncers that will be throwing you out once they realize what you are doing. Or, you realized what the 'cheat' was that some schmuck talked about half a year or so ago.

If you can make money from it, good on you, but generally, the odds are against you. Happy gambling. :)

Is there anywhere that tracks AH prices over long periods? I would assume this website does do that, but I don't know if there is a way to see the numbers. Say, look at October 13th, 2012 or something random.

I kind of want to track it, and this seems like a really good time to start.

Server: Asura
Material - Cost/unit (AH qty.)
Riftcinder - 950k/99 (499)
Riftdross - 470K/99 (357)
Pluton - 400k/99 (171)
Beitetsu - 1,000k/99 (209)
Riftborn Bolder - 600k/99 (183)
Heavy Metal Plates - 8,000k/99 (128)
High Purity Bayld - 910k/99 (106)
Alexandrite - 850k/99 (278)
M. Silver - 480k/ea. (118)
L-N Jadeshell - 450k/ea. (104)
100 Byne Bill - 470k/ea. (103)

It would be fun to track it like the stock market...

(I need to geek out about something)

This is very likely but given how much gil i think there is some time till its necessary to reinject cash in economy.

Though, its not necessary to create anything. Now SE has full control of gil in game. All it need to do if total drops below a some minimum limit is to open the tap, i.e. multiply the limit (200k week, 300k week, till they match creation->destruction).

That supposing devs know what tf they are doing