it's for fun, and i think it's cool
and even if it's a joke, who doesn't like em
i wonder if all the beans in the jar are the same size like on the inside /random
Help Me Test An Experiment.
Help me test an experiment.
I assure you, there's no trick involved <_< Guess I'll go ahead and call it now though, I doubt many more will be putting in a guess.. Give me a minute or two and I'll figure out the answer and explain.
I do have big hands but by no means am like Shaquille O'Neil.
100 was a gross overestimation due to a late hour and beer, but realistically, I could hold at least 60 in my hand. I'm still sticking to 1200 though.
100 was a gross overestimation due to a late hour and beer, but realistically, I could hold at least 60 in my hand. I'm still sticking to 1200 though.
=/ I failed to get anywhere near the results I was trying to recreate..
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Fairy.Spence said: »
4500
I'm impressed.
Psycho Slip said: »
=/ I failed to get anywhere near the results I was trying to recreate..
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
I think more detailed pictures showing proportions would have helped, but I think a lot of it is due to lack of simply being there to see in person, rather than answer it based on a few photos.
Yeah I know, but those were the best pics I could get.. For the most part you just see the very top of the jar through the segment.. =/
Yeah, in retrospect after seeing the results, I also grossly underestimated how wide the jar was more so than how deep it was.
Plus the jellybeans looked rather large and obtuse, so I also put that factor in my vote, which was waaaaaaaaaaaay off.
Plus the jellybeans looked rather large and obtuse, so I also put that factor in my vote, which was waaaaaaaaaaaay off.
Psycho Slip said: »
=/ I failed to get anywhere near the results I was trying to recreate..
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
People in your sample could see each others answers. If the person before you guesses 2000 you can't very well guess the 6000 needed to make the average work without feeling foolish.
Admittedly, seeing the answers of others did influence people, but still, very interesting results.
[+]
Odin.Gosuapple said: »
People in your sample could see each others answers. If the person before you guesses 2000 you can't very well guess the 6000 needed to make the average work without feeling foolish.
Virtually the same thing, the first person asked gave an answer, he'd move on down the line, those few nearest to the first could hear the first's answers, then when those who heard gave their answers the closest few could hear their's as well, all the way through the end.
My answer was based on math, which used horribly estimated numbers based on blurry pictures. My estimate was that the jar was about 25 beans high and 20 beans in diameter, meaning the formula pi(10)^2(25) would give the amount of beans in the jar. obviously my numbers were off a bit.
Psycho Slip said: »
=/ I failed to get anywhere near the results I was trying to recreate..
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
I mean come on man.
but really idk how you thought it would work.
Ragnarok.Gunit said: »
Psycho Slip said: »
=/ I failed to get anywhere near the results I was trying to recreate..
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
[+]
Bismarck.Dracondria said: »
Ragnarok.Gunit said: »
Psycho Slip said: »
=/ I failed to get anywhere near the results I was trying to recreate..
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
Okay, so here's the story.. Some of the people have gotten the idea right in the thread.. Here's what was in the documentary.. He put 4510 jelly beans in that jar, and asked 160 people how many they thought were in it.. People were guessing everything from 400 to 50,000.. Only 3 people even guess in the 4,000 range, everyone else was far off the mark, but when he added up the total of everyone's guesses, and then averaged them out, the collective guess was 4,515 (rounded to the nearest bean).. So despite the fact that the guesses were all over the place and only a couple of people even got close, they all together nearly nailed the exact number. Which I found absolutely insane, and wanted to see if it really worked.
Here I seperated the amounts by serious guesses and non-serious ones.. =/ Either way, it was less than 3k.
Every guess together resulted in an average of 2634, Taking out the 1337's, the over 9,000's, the 0's the single 1, and the 2 digit numbers doesn't change much, the collective guess is then 2818.
I didn't expect results as close as him, he even expressed his shock of how close the number was, he expected it to be close, but not that close.. But we're a little less than half off the real number, so my experiement failed :< Thanks to everyone participated though.
edit: lol wow need to stop posting high.
[+]
Holy ***I was only 10 off!
What do I win!?
Oh...
What do I win!?
Oh...
Bragging rights? D:
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