Scientists Tried For Failing To Predict Earthquake

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Scientists tried for failing to predict earthquake
 Ifrit.Arawn
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By Ifrit.Arawn 2011-05-27 00:30:12
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http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20110526/sc_livescience/seismologiststriedformanslaughterfornotpredictingearthquake

Proof that people just have an *** backwards view of the world and putting stupid people in positions of power puts you back in the dark ages.

The scientists in question apparently saw some data that said there MIGHT be reason to believe that an earthquake was going to happen. This news came out and suddenly people want to have them tried for manslaughter because they didn't warn everyone of the oncoming earthquake.

Now stop me if I'm wrong, predicting earthquakes isn't a concrete science and you have no idea if you're right or not as of right now; its a speculative process. They probably saw data like this dozens of times and if they kept yelling earthquake I'm sure they'd be told to shut the #$#$ up.

So, can scientists be charged for not telling people about probable or for that matter certain disasters? Can anyone for that matter?
 Valefor.Slipispsycho
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By Valefor.Slipispsycho 2011-05-27 00:36:00
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Accurately predicting any weather phenomenon or natural disaster is almost impossible..

I can tell you right now, that sometime very soon, an asteroid capable of destroying an entire city will hit the Earth (or blow up in the air just above the ground) because they happen on average about once every 100 years, the last was in Tunguska, a little over 100 years ago.. I couldn't tell you when or where though..

I can also tell you that sometime soon (in geological sense) Yellowstone is going to erupt as a super massive volcano, because it too goes by a schedule, and we've also passed the 'average' time span on that as well..

The same thing applies to any major natural disaster.
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By Samina 2011-05-27 00:36:27
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I think this case in itself is silly. Anyone that lives close to a fault line knows that there is ALWAYS risk of an earthquake. Also, if the news broadcasted an earthquake every time it happened that's all that would be heard. There are hundreds of earthquakes daily for any scientist to be tried because he didn't inform the public on a single one would just be ridiculous.
 Bahamut.Serj
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By Bahamut.Serj 2011-05-27 00:39:14
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Yes, hang him, gut him, and cut off his head and put it on a pike over the bridge. Pesky scientists, never get any of their witchcraft right.
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 Quetzalcoatl.Milliniar
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By Quetzalcoatl.Milliniar 2011-05-27 01:00:26
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i Believe the science behind earthquake prediction is very rudimentary and still in infant stages and has now way of predicting Amplitude. SO no way of knowing the difference of a 1.0 and a 9.0
 Bahamut.Serj
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By Bahamut.Serj 2011-05-27 01:05:17
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I was pretty sure there was a 10k~ year leeway in predicting earthquakes at any rate. And even then, it only falls inside probability.

I'll dig around for something in a few.
 Bismarck.Magnuss
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By Bismarck.Magnuss 2011-05-27 01:06:14
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Does this mean I can sue that guy for falsely declaring the Rapture? Cause seriously, pop-pop's gotta get paid, son!
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By Quetzalcoatl.Milliniar 2011-05-27 01:12:07
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from wiki
even mentions this a bit.
Quote:
According to the Seismological Society of America, for a statement to be accepted as a valid earthquake prediction, it has to contain the expected magnitude with error limits, the well defined area of the epicenter, the range of dates, and the probability of this to come true. The data from which the prediction was derived must be verifiable and the analysis of these data must be reproducible. Long term predictions (years to decades) are more likely to be achieved than medium term predictions (months to years), and short term predictions (hours to days) are in general unlikely to be possible, at present. If a plausible mechanism linking the observations with the predicted earthquake is not offered, the credibility of the prediction is diminished, but it may not necessarily be rejected. Evaluations of apparent successes must include a statistical estimate of the probability that the prediction came true by chance, which is often the case with predictions by amateurs. Whether a prediction is scientific or amateurish is not based on who makes the prediction, but based on how the prediction is made and tested. Predictions can be formulated either by defining the limits of the parameters probabilistically or by firm values.
 Bismarck.Rinomaru
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By Bismarck.Rinomaru 2011-05-27 01:19:10
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Rapture failed so gotta fking get rid of the scientists that make sense of life...
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By Inuyasha 2011-05-27 01:37:49
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Bismarck.Rinomaru said:
Rapture failed so gotta fking get rid of the scientists that make sense of life...
TOTALLY....although...try to remove Harold Camping and the tea party will have us in a depression faster than FOX can report it....
 Bismarck.Selzak
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By Bismarck.Selzak 2011-05-29 03:08:27
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Mr. Scientist
 Ramuh.Thunderz
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By Ramuh.Thunderz 2011-05-29 03:11:37
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People reacting to emotion.

Or people trying to get a dollar out of the situation

Either way both of them are HELP I AM TRAPPED IN 2006 PLEASE SEND A TIME MACHINE
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