Random Politics & Religion #00

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Random Politics & Religion #00
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 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2014-11-21 00:04:06
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Cerberus.Pleebo said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
If I'm worried about intruders breaking into my house, should I buy a frickin' security system or should I hire a committee to investigate all the possible consequences of having my house broken into? If you fix the problem at the source, you don't have to waste extra energy considering all the possible consequences.
Terrible analogy. I think the problem is this idea that once we find a way to manage our emissions that the earth will reverse course quickly and everything goes back to normal. Even if (BIG IF) we kept emissions steady immediately, a trend reversal is going to take decades to show a significant decline. So, yeah, preparedness is necessary.

I live in the Southwest so you can be sure funding has gone into assessing water resources in order to draw up ways in which long-term drought can be dealt with. Meanwhile, private industries are looking into different ways to tap and sell other resources since there's actual money to be made there. That leaves the government to fund the work no one else bothers to do.
Altimaomega said: »
Sorry, me and my reading comprehension are having a problem.
I missed the part where Rav said he was Okay with this. So I'm kinda confused on why you would even bring it up..
Well, I'm confused with what Rav actually wants so you'll excuse me if I have to fill in the blanks somehow.

Yeah, don't fill in the blanks please. I don't go rank-in-file with how most conservatives view proper government spending, although it's safe to say I'm even further away from how liberals view it. Regardless, for once I'll say the rest of your post is fair. Things like drought preparedness aren't exactly what I had in mind when making my previous comments. I was trying to make the case that prevention should be a much higher spending priority than forecasting. Disagree with me or not, there is some logic to it.

Edit: That's it for me today, I'll catch up with y'all tomorrow.
 Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2014-11-21 00:08:40
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
I appreciate that you're nicer than you used to be, but you ask way too many questions to reasonably expect an answer to all of them. This is especially true when, as in this case, such questions could be answered by simply looking back at previous comments. I can't tell if you're baiting or just curious, but it gets tedious having to repeat myself.

I haven't been reading posts that you've addressed at other people, but I did go back and read them. Of the past 3 pages, the only thing I could find is that you said government should direct their research into products that could compete in a global market.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't that a form of socialism? Investing into research is one thing, but producing products for sell on the market should be left to private entities.

As things stand now, the government is investing/providing grants for private entities to research new technology as well as support clean energy companies to create and sell their products on the market. The government does this for most/all energy companies across the board. I don't think many people will agree that it's the role of the government to compete with private industries.
 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2014-11-21 00:19:15
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Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
I appreciate that you're nicer than you used to be, but you ask way too many questions to reasonably expect an answer to all of them. This is especially true when, as in this case, such questions could be answered by simply looking back at previous comments. I can't tell if you're baiting or just curious, but it gets tedious having to repeat myself.

I haven't been reading posts that you've addressed at other people, but I did go back and read them. Of the past 3 pages, the only thing I could find is that you said government should direct their research into products that could compete in a global market.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't that a form of socialism? Investing into research is one thing, but producing products for sell on the market should be left to private entities.

As things stand now, the government is investing/providing grants for private entities to research new technology as well as support clean energy companies to create and sell their products on the market. The government does this for most/all energy companies across the board. I don't think many people will agree that it's the role of the government to compete with private industries.

Mmkay, you caught me in time, but forreals this is it for tonight. I'm not saying that the government should produce products for sale, I'm saying if they're going to funnel money into an industry anyway then it might as well be more utilized in the ways outlined in your last paragraph, since in my view that's the only way anything will ever change. This all goes back to my view that the industry hasn't made enough progress in that area, or has made progress in things that simply aren't very valuable. Maybe more money wouldn't do squat to change that though, I dunno. And I'm not saying that the government should screw over the oil companies in the process per se, either. Some industries just need a boost to get to the point where they can actually compete against the big dogs and then let capitalism take control from there.
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 Odin.Jassik
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By Odin.Jassik 2014-11-21 00:26:07
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Odin.Jassik said: »
You should look into what it takes to shave just a few dollars off the production cost of a car.

If it's anything like the industry I'm currently working with, the answer is to lay off as many people as you can in an attempt to save money until all the workers quit because they now have much larger workloads and the same pay as before. Works like a charm until it all collapses under its own weight.


Auto manufacturing plants are highly automated, Nissan's being one of the more automated of the domestic plants. Plants in other countries like Mexico are more labor oriented, but that's a different story because labor is cheaper.

Cutting out standard features like power windows only saves maybe a dollar per door in production cost (depending on volume obviously), so you can do the math of what it would take to cut thousands to make a car with modern technology competitive and viable. Nissan spent like 11 years developing the Leaf and will basically lose money on every one they sell for the first 5 years of it's production at projected sales numbers.

Like most companies, the only reason to build and sell a car like the Leaf or Prius is to allow them to sell more trucks and SUV's at a higher profit margin while still conforming to CAFE standards. Car companies don't really make money selling cars, they make money selling their name to dealerships and dealerships make money selling service and used cars.

Give them a reason to make modern cars and energy companies will have a reason to build the infrastructure for them.
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 00:36:54
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Bismarck.Ihina said: »
AO, I know you're still in this thread.

Here if the question I presented before:
Quote:
Other than questions on methodology that I'm clearly not qualified to answer, do you have an assertive reasons why both these groups are putting out flawed information?

If you don't have any reasons, do you acknowledge that the average global temperature is rising then?
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Altimaomega said: »
I never said it was false. It's flawed

Semantics doesn't really matter, but we can do it your way if it will move the conversation along.

Other than questions on methodology that I'm clearly not qualified to answer, do you have an assertive reasons why both these groups are putting out flawed information?

2 years ago I may have given more credence to the global temperature rising, but I still was in doubt it was man made. Charts like the ones you think point straight to global warming all get their information from the same sources so why wouldn't 2-3-4 different groups gather the same conclusion. The question you should be asking is whether or not they are aware of the methodology behind the numbers. I highly doubt they are, and they surely are not gonna go into it because the data they have backs up what they believe.

Just for fun.
Quote:
According to the Climate Prediction Center 1,998 cold weather records were set over the past seven days with 1,360 of those records being low max highs. That means that the temperature was the coldest day time high ever observed for that day.
http://www.news4jax.com/weather/coldest-november-morning-in-38-years-across-usa/29817030
 Siren.Kyte
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By Siren.Kyte 2014-11-21 00:45:15
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The real term for the phenomena is global climate change. Increased temperature variability is to be expected.
 Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2014-11-21 00:49:18
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Altimaomega said: »
2 years ago I may have given more credence to the global temperature rising, but I still was in doubt it was man made. Charts like the ones you think point straight to global warming all get their information from the same sources so why wouldn't 2-3-4 different groups gather the same conclusion. The question you should be asking is whether or not they are aware of the methodology behind the numbers. I highly doubt they are, and they surely are not gonna go into it because the data they have backs up what they believe.

And your reasons for believing that are?
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 00:52:22
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Siren.Kyte said: »
The real term for the phenomena is global climate change. Increased temperature variability is to be expected.

Ah, so you "want your cake and eat it to". You can't fear monger the public with "OMG the global temp has risen 1-2 degrees" then say, Increased temperature variability is to be expected. When it starts trending the other way.
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 00:53:32
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Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Altimaomega said: »
2 years ago I may have given more credence to the global temperature rising, but I still was in doubt it was man made. Charts like the ones you think point straight to global warming all get their information from the same sources so why wouldn't 2-3-4 different groups gather the same conclusion. The question you should be asking is whether or not they are aware of the methodology behind the numbers. I highly doubt they are, and they surely are not gonna go into it because the data they have backs up what they believe.

And your reasons for believing that are?

Show me proof to the contrary, I've never found any.
 Odin.Jassik
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By Odin.Jassik 2014-11-21 00:56:12
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Altimaomega said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Altimaomega said: »
2 years ago I may have given more credence to the global temperature rising, but I still was in doubt it was man made. Charts like the ones you think point straight to global warming all get their information from the same sources so why wouldn't 2-3-4 different groups gather the same conclusion. The question you should be asking is whether or not they are aware of the methodology behind the numbers. I highly doubt they are, and they surely are not gonna go into it because the data they have backs up what they believe.

And your reasons for believing that are?

Show me proof, I've never found any.

So, you just assume that they are unaware of how data is gathered and require others to prove that you're wrong?
 Bismarck.Ihina
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2014-11-21 01:02:01
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Altimaomega said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Altimaomega said: »
2 years ago I may have given more credence to the global temperature rising, but I still was in doubt it was man made. Charts like the ones you think point straight to global warming all get their information from the same sources so why wouldn't 2-3-4 different groups gather the same conclusion. The question you should be asking is whether or not they are aware of the methodology behind the numbers. I highly doubt they are, and they surely are not gonna go into it because the data they have backs up what they believe.

And your reasons for believing that are?

Show me proof to the contrary, I've never found any.

So basically, since you never found any reasons why it is true, that is enough for you to highly assert that it is false.

Since you said you've never found any, that suggests that you've actually gone to look before. Can you tell me what you've done so far to try and verify that those numbers are true?
 Cerberus.Pleebo
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By Cerberus.Pleebo 2014-11-21 01:03:39
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The sources of the numbers are within the IPCC report from which the graphs came from. Direct links are provided in the link. :0
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 Siren.Kyte
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By Siren.Kyte 2014-11-21 01:04:58
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Altimaomega said: »
Siren.Kyte said: »
The real term for the phenomena is global climate change. Increased temperature variability is to be expected.

Ah, so you "want your cake and eat it to". You can't fear monger the public with "OMG the global temp has risen 1-2 degrees" then say, Increased temperature variability is to be expected. When it starts trending the other way.

This does a reasonably decent job at explaining it.
 Bahamut.Milamber
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By Bahamut.Milamber 2014-11-21 01:05:35
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Altimaomega said: »
Siren.Kyte said: »
The real term for the phenomena is global climate change. Increased temperature variability is to be expected.

Ah, so you "want your cake and eat it to". You can't fear monger the public with "OMG the global temp has risen 1-2 degrees" then say, Increased temperature variability is to be expected.
The reason for the change is because there seem to be people that exist that can't comprehend the fact that what they experience locally is not indicative of global trends. I know it seems impossible to believe, but these people do exist.
I mean, it isn't as if someone mentioned how they had 30ish years of experience with weather in their area, so obviously data taken from the rest of the globe should match their expectations and experiences.
 Bahamut.Milamber
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By Bahamut.Milamber 2014-11-21 01:17:44
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Altimaomega said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
No, I just expect more out of decades of research and my tax money than what we've got.

So you do acknowledge that the clean energy industry have made some progress through government funded research, even though it's not as much as you would have liked?

Not really,
Improved solar cells? Those are decades old.
Improved batteries? Batteries have been around for a Very long time.
Improved... Wind turbines? Again old.

Throwing money at MINOR improvements on old idea's is not good business.
Farming? That's millenia old.
I guess we should close down all of our agricultural research stations.

Bad rationale is bad.
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 Bahamut.Milamber
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By Bahamut.Milamber 2014-11-21 01:20:25
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Well that's where you misunderstand me then. I'm not saying cut off all funding, I'm saying if you're going to spend money on it then don't spend it in stupid ways.

And that's a completely reasonable sentiment to have.

Can you give any specifics?

I appreciate that you're nicer than you used to be, but you ask way too many questions to reasonably expect an answer to all of them. This is especially true when, as in this case, such questions could be answered by simply looking back at previous comments. I can't tell if you're baiting or just curious, but it gets tedious having to repeat myself.
Said every climate scientist in the past 20 years.
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 01:56:34
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Bahamut.Milamber said: »
Altimaomega said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
No, I just expect more out of decades of research and my tax money than what we've got.

So you do acknowledge that the clean energy industry have made some progress through government funded research, even though it's not as much as you would have liked?

Not really,
Improved solar cells? Those are decades old.
Improved batteries? Batteries have been around for a Very long time.
Improved... Wind turbines? Again old.

Throwing money at MINOR improvements on old idea's is not good business.
Farming? That's millenia old.
I guess we should close down all of our agricultural research stations.

Bad rationale is bad.

LoL what research stations would those be? Also, I'm all for cutting all aid to every single farmer. It would level the playing field dramatically.
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By Jetackuu 2014-11-21 01:58:25
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Bahamut.Milamber said: »
Altimaomega said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Bahamut.Ravael said: »
No, I just expect more out of decades of research and my tax money than what we've got.

So you do acknowledge that the clean energy industry have made some progress through government funded research, even though it's not as much as you would have liked?

Not really,
Improved solar cells? Those are decades old.
Improved batteries? Batteries have been around for a Very long time.
Improved... Wind turbines? Again old.

Throwing money at MINOR improvements on old idea's is not good business.
Farming? That's millenia old.
I guess we should close down all of our agricultural research stations.

Bad rationale is bad.
Or it's just a good thing that the government isn't a business, aside from that: I'd hardly call any of the advancements "minor" but yeah, that's kind of how technology improved until we have breakthroughs, but those don't happen too terribly often.
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 01:59:11
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Siren.Kyte said: »
Altimaomega said: »
Siren.Kyte said: »
The real term for the phenomena is global climate change. Increased temperature variability is to be expected.

Ah, so you "want your cake and eat it to". You can't fear monger the public with "OMG the global temp has risen 1-2 degrees" then say, Increased temperature variability is to be expected. When it starts trending the other way.

This does a reasonably decent job at explaining it.

Except for a almost 2yr old article forgets to mention the mass expansion of ice. /sigh
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By Jetackuu 2014-11-21 01:59:39
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Yes, let's. While admittedly, the clean energy industry still has a ways to go, do you not think we've made significant progress through all that research money? Do you think the multi-billion dollar industry is supported entirely by government tax dollars and they're not producing anything of real value? I just want to be clear on your stance.

I'm pretty sure I made my stance quite clear in previous posts today. No, I don't think that we have made enough progress given the amount of government money that has been handed over to the industry. I think it is has been corrupted by political motivations and has wasted too much money pointless projects. Do you need more clarification?
Oh, kind of like they want to do with the keystone pipeline?
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 02:01:43
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Bahamut.Milamber said: »
Altimaomega said: »
Siren.Kyte said: »
The real term for the phenomena is global climate change. Increased temperature variability is to be expected.

Ah, so you "want your cake and eat it to". You can't fear monger the public with "OMG the global temp has risen 1-2 degrees" then say, Increased temperature variability is to be expected.
The eason for the change is because there seem to be people that exist that can't comprehend the fact that what they experience locally is not indicative of global trends. I know it seems impossible to believe, but these people do exist.
I mean, it isn't as if someone mentioned how they had 30ish years of experience with weather in their area, so obviously data taken from the rest of the globe should match their expectations and experiences.

So what your saying is local trends only matter when they back up your side of the argument.
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2014-11-21 02:01:50
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AO, just following up on a previous post. You claimed that the reason why you "highly" doubt those temperature numbers are true are because you've never found any information that shows those numbers are true. I assume that means you've previously spent some time looking into those numbers before. Can you tell me where you've looked?
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 02:09:46
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Bismarck.Ihina said: »
AO, just following up on a previous post. You claimed that the reason why you "highly" doubt those temperature numbers are true are because you've never found any information that shows those numbers are true. I assume that means you've previously spent some time looking into those numbers before. Can you tell me where you've looked?

The internet.

Edit:
Been looking at the info for those charts you posted, did you even read how the data was collected and how the "sparse data" was factored in? They have a wealth of data from around the globe from the 70s-90s before then it looks like a lot of guess work went into those charts. Are you willing to bet mass amounts of money and jobs that will be lost to new rules, regulations and taxes when a mere 1 and a half degree possible heat increase happened? Not to mention how the climate seems to be going the other way the past decade? Or will you continue to drink the Kool-aid and believe everything that's shown to you in a pretty chart?
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2014-11-21 02:14:00
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Can you be a bit more specific?
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By Bloodrose 2014-11-21 02:15:13
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what, the absolute vagueness of the internet isn't specific enough for you people?

Next you'll be asking for links and citations and ***... from credible sources with both dissenting and supporting opinions!

HOW DARE YOU!
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 Cerberus.Pleebo
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By Cerberus.Pleebo 2014-11-21 02:21:39
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Altimaomega said: »
Been looking at the info for those charts you posted, did you even read how the data was collected and how the "sparse data" was factored in?
Ah, so you read Mann et al 1999. What are your issues with their data collection?
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By Bahamut.Kara 2014-11-21 02:25:00
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Bahamut.Ravael said: »
Bismarck.Ihina said: »
Yes, let's. While admittedly, the clean energy industry still has a ways to go, do you not think we've made significant progress through all that research money? Do you think the multi-billion dollar industry is supported entirely by government tax dollars and they're not producing anything of real value? I just want to be clear on your stance.

I'm pretty sure I made my stance quite clear in previous posts today. No, I don't think that we have made enough progress given the amount of government money that has been handed over to the industry. I think it is has been corrupted by political motivations and has wasted too much money pointless projects. Do you need more clarification?
Can you please give me the numbers and source you're referring to?

You mention the money angle a lot when discussing climate change research. Could you give those numbers you keep referring to, as well?

Since, frankly, I have no idea what you are referring to.

Edited to be more specific
Edit 2:
These are numbers I can find about clean tech. $77 billion from FY2008 to FY2013, 75% funded technology development through DOE.
http://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R43227.pdf
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By Jetackuu 2014-11-21 02:26:43
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Altimaomega said: »
when a mere 1 and a half degree
This is one of the reasons I say you're scientific illiterate.
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By Bismarck.Ihina 2014-11-21 02:32:23
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If you don't mind, this thread has been going for three pages without fecal material being thrown around. It would be nice if it would stay that way.
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By Altimaomega 2014-11-21 02:39:45
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Bismarck.Ihina said: »
If you don't mind, this thread has been going for three pages without fecal material being thrown around. It would be nice if it would stay that way.

Jet can't help flinging poo, its in his nature.
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